Question on money-making

If I had a lot of money, how would I make giant sacks of cash by betting on the following two outcomes?

1. Public pensions (eg, IL state government pensions) are going to explode because of unrealistic assumptions and chronic underfunding even if the unrealistic assumptions were correct.
2. We're going to screw the pooch on global warming. If and when we do act, it will be so late that the price for a ton of carbon will be exorbitant.

There are other similar problems. But, really, who can get (viz) 8% on billions of dollars of investments these days? Nobody, so these state pension funds are going to get crucified. Who can convince any government of the necessity of uncomfortable action now to prevent bad stuff from happening thirty years from now? Nobody, that's why there will be no arctic polar ice at some point in a summer before 2020.

There has to be some way to make money off of these known future failures. It's like having a 2020 Almanac. A very depressing 2020 Almanac.

So, in short, how can I bet against rational long term thinking?

The assault on Ockham's Razor

Yes, even Ockham's Razor is suspect now because some priest suggested its use in the Metropolitan Jonah scandal, saying that it seemed simpler that the story the bishops unanimously agreed on and wrote up in their letter was substantially true than that there is, for instance, a lavender mafia directing the actions of the Synod against Metropolitan Jonah because he dares to speak up about Conservative Morality.

The opponents of its use point out two things:

1. Ockham was a Latin Nominalist, two things which are Anathema to right-believing and God-fearing Orthodox Christians.
2. Ockham's Razor is often used by atheists to "disprove" the existence of God.

There you have it, ladies and gentleman.

For more on Ockham's Razor, see Larry Wasserman.

Edited to add link to post referred to. Also, note that what I said was mildly inaccurate in that the post linked came before the Synod's letter. Read it for yourself if you're interested in the argument.

This turned out worse than I expected.

I thought it might be something like this, but it was worse than I thought it would be. Lord have mercy on them all! Especially the victims.

More: CrossFit makes fun of the mentally ill, the homeless, the desperate, and the destitute

Don't click on these links if you get angry easily about mistreatment of the less fortunate in society. CrossFit makes fun of the mentally ill, the homeless, the desperate, and the destitute.

As the headline says, "Downtown L.A. CrossFit Gym Debases Homeless Neighbors in Photos, Facebook Posts". It is exactly what it sounds like. However, no laws were broken, so, like, whatevs. Also puzzling is how the head of CrossFit, Inc's legal department, Dale Saran, apparently didn't care when informed about this CrossFit franchise's anti-human behavior.

CrossFit's legal counsel, Dale Saran, told the Weekly: "You framed this as if CrossFit is somehow responsible for what Ronnie Teasdale or anyone in those pictures is alleged to have done. If a United Airlines pilot goes off and does something wrong, it's on him -- not all of United Airlines ... unless what he did is the direct result of a UA policy or procedure. "I don't suppose that you're claiming that CrossFit has a policy or predilection against the homeless -- no responsible journalist or person could -- and so I don't expect an article that reflects that." Saran says CrossFit is not responsible for policing its affiliates... .

Keep it classy, Dale.

Memory eternal!

This happened a while ago, but I did not have an article to link to until today. I never played him, but, IIRC, he beat our top board when we last played his team in the CICL. Truly an American icon.

More amusing internet drama: CrossFit(TM).

This is not related to the OCA, it's related to something I don't care about, either, except as an example of corporate "douchenfreude". But, it is amusing. Don't bother looking at any of the links if you're not interested in reading Cracked.com-style web-logs about some company you don't care about and how that company cracked down on them.

Here's a TL: DR for those who don't want to read (really, I don't blame you, you shouldn't read this): CrossFit, Inc. sends anonymous threats to the employers of individuals who make fun of it in an attempt to intimidate them.

Some background: CrossFit (TM) is like the exercise equivalent of Scientology. It is an international corporation with franchises around the world, but mostly in yuppie parts of America where they charge on the order of $150/month for their fitness classes. They run an annual fitness competition called the Reebok CrossFit Games (TM) (guess who their corporate sponsor is). It's kind of like the "world series of exercise" or something. They're kind of like Zumba, except competitive. Not my cup of tea, I'm more a fan of picking up heavy things and putting them down, so I don't really know anything about them.

Some of their fans have sarcastic web pages about the company. Now, if CrossFit, Inc. does not like the sarcastic web page and the sarcastic web page uses the CrossFit name in its web address, especially if they sell crap on their page, they can and will threaten legal action to cripple it and maybe get it shut down. See, for instance, The Naked CrossFitter. I don't expect you to care about that. It's just context.

However, what can they do if a page makes merciless fun of the CrossFit brand (the brand is the only product CrossFit, Inc. sells), but did not make the rookie mistake of using the CrossFit name in its title or address? If they don't have the threat of legal action available to them, what can they do? Well, they can find out your real name, find out where you work, print off a bunch of crap from your web-log, and send it anonymously through the mail to some senior people in your company in the hopes that something will happen. That sounds crazy, but the internet is serious business. BeastModalDomains alleges that this is what happened to him - maybe it wasn't CrossFit, Inc., but it was somebody, and that is why he is killing his BeastModalDomains web-log. This isn't a grave tragedy, but it's the sort of amusing thing CrossFit does every once in a while that keeps me listening at the ground for their latest bit of zaniness.

So, just as an FYI: CrossFit, Inc. sends anonymous threats to the employers of individuals who make fun of it in an attempt to intimidate them. He doesn't even work for a fitness company, he's some corporate schmuck!